Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 253.103073 285.433910 321.307115 364.239989 414.456088 471.611425 541.984891
2025-05-11 199.860810 240.958573 290.524620 355.382293 439.013344 544.611194 690.286579
2025-05-18 170.856755 214.804864 270.695084 348.222361 454.971992 599.835774 816.736046
2025-05-25 156.571115 203.900386 266.862159 358.727380 492.788560 687.010740 1000.935081
2025-06-01 141.880894 190.029241 256.440927 357.428969 512.113540 749.038697 1158.451339
2025-06-08 128.431650 176.070741 243.798122 350.459887 520.790606 794.730520 1297.369399
2025-06-15 119.227118 167.036430 236.959846 350.802881 540.044276 859.289780 1481.275462
2025-06-22 109.423405 156.089845 225.977609 343.004997 544.337824 898.385068 1625.892366
2025-06-29 102.511883 148.818227 219.792014 341.983774 559.546931 958.601236 1825.014707
2025-07-06 93.712062 137.881969 206.797840 328.029789 549.775533 970.345619 1925.056388
2025-07-13 91.330726 136.803962 209.465661 341.061855 590.785218 1086.894698 2286.169642
2025-07-20 89.364102 136.182097 212.738144 355.387744 636.124807 1220.467920 2727.433635
2025-07-27 84.951631 131.331278 208.651961 356.238517 655.894104 1305.424242 3079.617353
2025-08-03 79.345370 124.098108 199.887974 347.433087 654.829282 1344.146231 3321.675369
2025-08-10 74.580373 117.951902 192.520925 340.487946 656.627707 1389.742005 3599.272170
2025-08-17 72.753369 116.729878 193.835507 350.703566 697.198092 1537.610623 4247.130776
2025-08-24 69.474246 112.719499 189.709109 349.440997 711.693628 1622.637077 4726.804633
2025-08-31 65.743515 107.661460 183.244886 342.662664 712.375024 1671.299298 5100.802926
2025-09-07 63.205553 104.592706 180.300436 342.996291 730.098848 1770.792249 5711.314988
2025-09-14 59.907600 99.935492 173.974143 335.410893 727.290828 1811.142099 6108.098416
2025-09-21 57.611369 96.997698 170.788334 334.417417 741.026835 1903.924120 6776.099742
2025-09-28 54.077697 91.556436 162.317810 320.840663 720.430123 1887.077251 6946.885795
2025-10-05 53.590369 91.836441 165.273859 333.520530 771.234034 2109.549484 8390.154692